Wednesday, September 7, 2011

The riskful Arab spring

It is interesting to see this term - the Arab spring-  over and over again. The use of the word spring can indicate that this "spring" has a lot in common with weather prognoses as no one can realy say how long it will take before this spring will become into a radical Islamic storm.

Egypt - the revolt in Egypt that gained a huge support from the western world has created a dangerous and unstable situation both in north Africa and the south of Israel. The Muslim brotherhood and Salafi extremists gained power and freedom to operate and the current military regime is experiencing difficulties to control them.
This situation placed the Sinai peninsula as a green house for Islamic terror groups that are using this space as an arsenal storage as well as a jumping off ground for executing terror attacks.


Lybia - since NATO launched its operation to unseat Qaddafi,and the huge aid it provides to the new regime, it become clear that this regime is pro Al Qaeda, Salafi extremists and global Jihad. One of the reasons for this aid is the thinking that in the long term these extremists will embrace moderation and democracy.
These trends are indicating a deep misunderstanding. The thinking that in the long term the Radical Islam elements will become moderate is effecting the way that western countries, the E.U. countries for example, are reacting to the radical Islamic groups and populations that positioned within these countries. Avoiding confrontation with these groups and ideas now will make things harder in the long term.
A passive reaction to terror threats and acts by democratic countries is an open call for terrorists and extremists.

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