Monday, August 15, 2011

About Trickle Down Economics and failures in Counter Terrorism

Trickle-down theory is based on the premise that within an economy, giving tax breaks to the top earners makes them more likely to earn more. Top earners invest that extra money in productive economic activities or spend more of their time at the high-paying trade they do best (whether that be creating inventions or performing heart surgeries). Either way, these activities will be productive, reinvigorate economic growth and, in the end, generate more tax revenue from these earners and the people they've helped. According to the theory, this boost in growth will ultimately help those in lower income brackets as well.
Governments have engaged in massive amount of tax cuts for the rich, deregulated businesses, and all sorts of things to encourage these people to invest, because they now have more money. They can spare more money. They can invest it. And then that argument was this wealth will eventually trickle down throughout the society. So maybe in the beginning you are getting a smaller slice of pie because you are giving more to the rich guys, but eventually the absolute size of your slice will be bigger.
"People have been drilled into thinking that there is equality of opportunity and whatever comes out at the end should be accepted. But the effects of not having equality of outcome are felt by the next generation. It is not simply that you don't have enough money; if your parents are from a certain background, you don't even aspire to another background. You can ameliorate some of these things through the school system, but not all of them." (Proff.Ha-Joon Chang).

It seems that more and more concepts and theories fail the reality test, and have a role in igniting overwhelmed violence. It is important to re evaluate our fundamentals concepts, theories and methods when dealing with counter terrorism.

One subject that the Oslo attacks in last July and London riots have in common is the way both incidents surprised and overwhelmed everyone who was in charge to warn and be prepared for such incidents.
A few questions arise about the preparedness for such incidents:

1. Are the intelligence agencies are updated not only when it comes to intelligence gathering technologies, but also about the way they are processing it?
2. Is it possible that the agencies who are in charge to provide solution for such incident are not flexible     enough to provide rapid solutions to different types of continuously changing threats?
3. Did anyone understand the connections between the socio-economical, and socio-demographic characteristics and the development of such threats?
4.Is it possible that the Intelligence agencies and other C.T agencies missions and work are too influenced by political correctness/sociology and social climate ?
5. The purpose of Process Intelligence service is to make available a service interface for processing tactical intelligence information information association, information correlation and information fusion. Processing Intelligence information is mainly a manually performed process, which uses various types of software tools for producing a final report. One part of the processed intelligence reports is an assessment of the most likely scenario, the estimated next actions of the target/s. This assessment is made by the intelligence function - 
I believe that the Intelligence function needs to test, review, and change this and other functions that are too sensitive to discuss in this forum.
More important is to inovate and develop in order to have a better inteligence services.
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